Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001413 0.001537 0.001670 0.001825 0.002000 0.002193 0.002423
2025-11-23 0.001258 0.001427 0.001619 0.001858 0.002148 0.002494 0.002944
2025-11-30 0.001143 0.001334 0.001561 0.001855 0.002233 0.002710 0.003374
2025-12-07 0.001039 0.001238 0.001482 0.001810 0.002248 0.002828 0.003683
2025-12-14 0.000965 0.001170 0.001429 0.001786 0.002282 0.002966 0.004029
2025-12-21 0.000894 0.001100 0.001364 0.001739 0.002275 0.003042 0.004287
2025-12-28 0.000808 0.001003 0.001257 0.001624 0.002157 0.002941 0.004255
2026-01-04 0.000748 0.000937 0.001187 0.001553 0.002098 0.002918 0.004341
2026-01-11 0.000710 0.000898 0.001151 0.001528 0.002102 0.002992 0.004595
2026-01-18 0.000681 0.000870 0.001128 0.001519 0.002128 0.003100 0.004923
2026-01-25 0.000748 0.000978 0.001302 0.001817 0.002666 0.004126 0.007169
2026-02-01 0.000707 0.000931 0.001250 0.001763 0.002623 0.004135 0.007398
2026-02-08 0.000668 0.000887 0.001205 0.001724 0.002617 0.004240 0.007922
2026-02-15 0.000649 0.000873 0.001203 0.001757 0.002741 0.004615 0.009181
2026-02-22 0.000624 0.000848 0.001182 0.001755 0.002801 0.004874 0.010256
2026-03-01 0.000592 0.000810 0.001140 0.001713 0.002782 0.004965 0.010923
2026-03-08 0.000567 0.000782 0.001111 0.001691 0.002798 0.005134 0.011876
2026-03-15 0.000539 0.000748 0.001071 0.001648 0.002767 0.005192 0.012519
2026-03-22 0.000501 0.000696 0.000998 0.001540 0.002598 0.004907 0.011981
2026-03-29 0.000473 0.000660 0.000950 0.001475 0.002509 0.004802 0.012028
2026-04-05 0.000456 0.000639 0.000926 0.001452 0.002505 0.004902 0.012817
2026-04-12 0.000442 0.000623 0.000911 0.001443 0.002531 0.005078 0.013966
2026-04-19 0.000480 0.000692 0.001041 0.001720 0.003214 0.007158 0.024690